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Preview: Reserve Bank of Australia widely expected to leave its cash rate unchanged today

by FM Tradespeople
September 4, 2023
in Trading
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Preview: Reserve Bank of Australia widely expected to leave its cash rate unchanged today
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The Reserve Financial institution of Australia September assembly is developing on Tuesday September 5. The assertion shall be printed at 2.30pm native time in Sydney, which is 0430 GMT and 2230 US Japanese time on Monday, 4 September 2023.

Preview feedback by way of TD:

  • We count on the RBA to go away the money fee unchanged at 4.1% (consensus can be 4.1%) on the September assembly after the encouraging July CPI print.
  • The financial information hasn’t supplied a lot impetus for the RBA to restart its mountaineering cycle for the reason that Financial institution transited to a fine-tuning part on this cycle, emphasising that the Board will take determination month-by-month based mostly on incoming information.
  • July CPI inflation continued to decelerate to 4.8% y/y whereas the job losses of -14.6k in July cements the case for an additional pause from the Financial institution.
  • As such, we doubt there shall be any distinct shift within the RBA’s messaging on the September assembly and count on Governor Lowe’s final RBA assembly to go with out a lot fanfare.

–

Sure, its Reserve Financial institution of Australia Governor Lowe’s closing assembly in cost. Present Deputy RBA governor Michele Bullock takes over as boss on September 18. Previous to that Lowe makes one closing public speech:

  • Governor Lowe speaks on Sep 7

–

Earlier:

  • Coming up from the RBA – Policy statement on September 5, Governor Lowe speaks on Sep 7

Deputy RBA governor Michele Bullock and RBA governor Philip Lowe



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